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Oil Rises Above $130/Barrel as Banks Increase Price Forecast
Wednesday, May 21, 2008
Bloomberg -- May 21 (Bloomberg) -- Oil rose above $130 a barrel for the first time after at least five banks raised price forecasts in the past week on expectations supply constraints will persist.

Crude oil for July delivery gained as much as $1.40, or 1.1 percent, to $130.47 a barrel, the highest since trading began in 1983 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It traded for $130.22 at 11:56 a.m. London time.

Oil prices are likely to carry on rising, futures prices show. Crude for delivery in December 2016 surged $17.08, or 14 percent, in the three trading days after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its forecast to $141 a barrel for the second half of the year. Yesterday, Societe Generale SA and Credit Suisse raised their forecasts for prices.


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JT
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Message Posted: 5/21/2008 9:12:17 AM  Ignore JT Report Abuse
Wednesday, May 21, 2008
Bloomberg -- May 21 (Bloomberg) -- Oil rose above $130 a barrel for the first time after at least five banks raised price forecasts in the past week on expectations supply constraints will persist.

Crude oil for July delivery gained as much as $1.40, or 1.1 percent, to $130.47 a barrel, the highest since trading began in 1983 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It traded for $130.22 at 11:56 a.m. London time.

Oil prices are likely to carry on rising, futures prices show. Crude for delivery in December 2016 surged $17.08, or 14 percent, in the three trading days after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its forecast to $141 a barrel for the second half of the year. Yesterday, Societe Generale SA and Credit Suisse raised their forecasts for prices.

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REPLIES (newest first)
POLELANE
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Ohio

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 1:49:28 PM  Ignore POLELANE Report Abuse
something is on the up and up
Gas_Buzzer
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South Carolina

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 12:48:56 PM  Ignore Gas_Buzzer Report Abuse
It was $135 yesterday.
PenDoctrJD
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Orange County

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 9:53:53 AM  Ignore PenDoctrJD Report Abuse
Of course
duriarte
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Utah

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 9:48:33 AM  Ignore duriarte Report Abuse
At the rate the US is consuming oil and gas the demand, in my opinion will not go down.
mmene
Sophomore Author
Houston

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 9:34:27 AM  Ignore mmene Report Abuse
Actually, OPEC will never find a price that is too high. Crude will level off when demand drops to the point where buyers have power again. Or when non OPEC supplies increase.
kanmandoo
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Detroit

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 9:26:32 AM  Ignore kanmandoo Report Abuse
Crude will level off only when OPEC gets to the price they want and starts opening the flow again.
ramshot412
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Riverside

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:56:04 AM  Ignore ramshot412 Report Abuse
They're going to have to adjust their forecast upwards.....
tomok
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Portland

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:52:24 AM  Ignore tomok Report Abuse
OMG!
Now it said on the news it went over $135 a barrel this morning.
Its not a forecast anymore.
RML1
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Chicago

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:49:41 AM  Ignore RML1 Report Abuse
futures futures futures futures futures What our?????????????????
t4204life
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Ohio

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:48:15 AM  Ignore t4204life Report Abuse
up,up,up,
CTDPower
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Virginia Beach

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:48:05 AM  Ignore CTDPower Report Abuse
Someone jimmied the locking gas cap on my Pacifica and siphoned about 3 gallons out.

just a matter of time before we see the fuel stealing we had in the 70's where people just punch a hole in the tank and drain it.
maggiemaen
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Wisconsin

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:46:03 AM  Ignore maggiemaen Report Abuse
Just keep saying prices are going up and they will!
NissanGirl
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Oregon

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:46:02 AM  Ignore NissanGirl Report Abuse
This is depressing...
_angel35_
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Michigan

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:45:58 AM  Ignore _angel35_ Report Abuse
the prices at the pump always go up before a holiday...for as long as *I* can remember anyway...but this time I am afraid they won't come back down because soon as crude goes up, so do pump prices...altho it makes no 'rational' sense...but then again what about this whole mess IS 'rational'?
wark6
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Minnesota

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:45:32 AM  Ignore wark6 Report Abuse
AARGH!
minnow_me
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Michigan

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:44:23 AM  Ignore minnow_me Report Abuse
Can you say controll by energy .
CyanSquirrel
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Virginia

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:44:16 AM  Ignore CyanSquirrel Report Abuse
Old news...
tbybee
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Omaha

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:41:37 AM  Ignore tbybee Report Abuse
At what level of oil price does it become cost-effective to extract it from oil-shale?
dyeh
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Illinois

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:40:23 AM  Ignore dyeh Report Abuse
fairchildd: welcome to the world of fiat currency. It is indeed true that the dollar is being massively devalued by a runaway printing press; if you 'de-massage' the numbers for inflation, you get an inflation value closer to 10-14%, kind of like in the late 1970's. The dollar is getting more and more worthless faster and faster. They can do that, because the dollar is no longer backed by anything real, such as gold or silver. Look no further than the fact that a single dollar bill used to buy a silver dollar coin; now it takes $20-30.

The collapse of the dollar (like the pre-WWII german currency) will collapse the economy, and the empire that relies on the currency. It is a matter of 'when,' not 'if.'
Gerund1
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Toronto

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:40:23 AM  Ignore Gerund1 Report Abuse
Yep, just keep forcasting higher prices. If they forcast, it will come to pass.
tbybee
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Omaha

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:37:55 AM  Ignore tbybee Report Abuse
The US needs to sink some money into alternative fuel research. Just the hint that we're serious about replacing oil would bring the price down.
Chazzer
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Nevada

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:34:49 AM  Ignore Chazzer Report Abuse
Of course they do!
Somis1
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Ventura

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:33:28 AM  Ignore Somis1 Report Abuse
"As more say it isn't going to get any better, the speculators know its okay to make it worse"

Amen.
doulosx
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Columbus

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:32:54 AM  Ignore doulosx Report Abuse
What better reason do we have to drill in ANWAR?
fairchildd
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Kansas City

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:32:33 AM  Ignore fairchildd Report Abuse
This is starting to sound like what happened to Germany durin the second world war. People were spending their paychecks as soon as they got them because by that afternoon, prices would have gone up again. Gas is going up in price every couple of days it seems.
Dale Jr.
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Iowa

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:32:25 AM  Ignore Dale Jr. Report Abuse
Bloomberg must be slow, oil closed yesterday above $133.
notsurprised
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Portland

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:29:54 AM  Ignore notsurprised Report Abuse
The market is still the best way to handle the lack of oil relative to demand. Any other system would be much worse.
w4kh
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Riverside

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:28:13 AM  Ignore w4kh Report Abuse
It isn't just the US controlling the market for oil... not even OPEC manages the demand... emerging economies like China and India are buying up every drop we don't use, and pumping more into the supply by drilling in ANWR and off-shore won't help the US price one bit! The GLOABL DEMAND will buy it up and only Big Oil gets rich!

Go alternative fuel - electric car and solar panels, compressed air, other viable technologies, some of which harvest energy with less energy input than they produce - we should have these technologies!
Dennis783
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Wisconsin

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:27:30 AM  Ignore Dennis783 Report Abuse
As more say it isn't going to get any better, the speculators know its okay to make it worse
mvosevich
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St. Louis

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:22:52 AM  Ignore mvosevich Report Abuse
Ya think Hillary can end this madness?
woos777
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Washington

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:21:38 AM  Ignore woos777 Report Abuse
Just a slowdown. That's what George said.
EXTREMESNOW
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Oregon

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:17:23 AM  Ignore EXTREMESNOW Report Abuse
SUPPLY CONSTAINTS! KEY WORD EXPECTATIONS! WHAT A CROCK!
spc
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North Carolina

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:16:46 AM  Ignore spc Report Abuse
what recession?
DooDaa
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Massachusetts

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:15:14 AM  Ignore DooDaa Report Abuse
Save your pennies..
ladyjj
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Tennessee

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:12:41 AM  Ignore ladyjj Report Abuse
Yeah what Vacation! I am going to be lucky if I can mow the yard! I guess my vac. will be spent watching the grass grow. Open it up already! Please!
eaglev
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Oklahoma City

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:10:11 AM  Ignore eaglev Report Abuse
Please Read John Hofmeister, who is the CEO of Shell Oil Company in front of Congress. He spells out the true reason for our oil problems.

HOFMEISTER: In the United States, access to our own oil and gas resources has been limited for the last 30 years, prohibiting companies such as Shell from exploring and developing resources for the benefit of the American people. It is not a free market. According to the Department of the Interior, 62% of all on-shore federal lands are off limits to oil and gas developments, with restrictions applying to 92% of all federal lands. The Argonne National Laboratory did a report in 2004 that identified 40 specific federal policy areas that halt, limit, delay, or restrict natural gas projects. The problem of access can be solved in this country by the same government that has prohibited it. Congress could have chose to lift some or all of the current restrictions on exploration and production of oil and gas. Congress could provide national policy to reverse the persistent decline of domestically secure natural resource development.

There is simply no way to keep up -- let alone get ahead of demand -- except by producing more oil and building more refining capacity. That's because of the makeup of the barrel of crude. Only a third to a half of a barrel of crude oil can be used to make these products. We can't use more than half of a barrel of oil to make diesel and aviation fuel. To meet this demand we need more capacity. So we need policies that enable both more crude supply and more refining. Higher taxes would only serve to diminish the expansion capacity of this critical capital investment. I urge you on behalf of American consumers to resist such punitive policies.

laddyboy62
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Riverside

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:10:05 AM  Ignore laddyboy62 Report Abuse
133$ this a.m.
vj24
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Michigan

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:09:12 AM  Ignore vj24 Report Abuse
I think its time to open drilling in all of the US.
Rageagainsttm
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Tampa

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:08:41 AM  Ignore Rageagainsttm Report Abuse
so rude of crude
Bity
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Wichita

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:08:27 AM  Ignore Bity Report Abuse
no one can afford to go anywhere now. vacation? what vacation?
KellysDad
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Jackson

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:08:05 AM  Ignore KellysDad Report Abuse
SueB1863,

Excellent points. One way to burst the bubble is to announce the start of domestic oil and gas exploration in ALL of the U.S. THEN, we have to follow up and START DRILLING. The threat of increasing the domestic supply and decreasing dependence on foreign sources will cause speculation to dwindle.

China is already drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, so why can't we? OR, a better question:

Who do you want drilling in OUR oceans - China or the U.S.? Their environmental record isn't exactly pristine! Check their coal burning power plants.
AC-302
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Los Angeles

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:07:44 AM  Ignore AC-302 Report Abuse
At $130/bbl, that means that the price of crude oil is about $3.10/gal. Again, that's just the raw material to make the gasoline!! Yikes!!
trkmtarv4
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Arkansas

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:06:42 AM  Ignore trkmtarv4 Report Abuse
we might look back years from now and say, "remember when the price of oil was so cheap at $140 a barrel?"
spunky4443
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Washington

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:06:02 AM  Ignore spunky4443 Report Abuse
Well it looks like a Gloomy Memorial Day, who can afford to go anywhere????
ursidae3
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Orlando

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:03:28 AM  Ignore ursidae3 Report Abuse
dont see it stopping anytime soon.
papou
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Tampa

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:03:14 AM  Ignore papou Report Abuse
Investors from around the world keep buying higher futuers, whos behind this Arabs Nations
SueB1863
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Toledo

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 8:00:25 AM  Ignore SueB1863 Report Abuse
But what can burst the bubble? Supply is contrained and can be restricted even more, all OPEC has to do is cut back production. Hurricane season's coming up. China and India demand is growing every day. It's not like .coms or housing, there's nothing to keep oil from simply climbing and climbing. Even at $300 a barrel they'll always have plenty of buyers.

It might stop skyrocketing but it won't burst ever, I don't think. Too many very powerful people are profiting handsomely.
Brockvillian
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Ontario

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 7:58:56 AM  Ignore Brockvillian Report Abuse
It might be time for Americans to revolt against the politicians and the oil companies and put their foot down and say, "That's it, no MORE!" Change can only happen by the people for the people.
vascojoe
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Washington

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 7:58:21 AM  Ignore vascojoe Report Abuse
Are these the same banks that gave us the sub-prime loan mess?
lleddirj
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Michigan

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Message Posted: 5/22/2008 7:52:24 AM  Ignore lleddirj Report Abuse
Can't wait for the big depression to hit.
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